Florida State
W-L: (36-22) PR = 96.9837Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 5- 1 214 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 16- 5 217 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 13- 8 220 A Saint Peter's MAAC ( 1- 5, 88.1) 6- 3 221 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 5- 8 222 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 1-10 225 H North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 14- 9 228 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 6- 2 228 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 2- 1 301 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 2- 0 303 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 7-11 304 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 22- 5 306 A Tennessee Tech OV ( 5-13, 90.0) 7- 5 307 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 13- 3 308 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 17- 3 310 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 3- 6 313 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 10- 0 314 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 2- 0 315 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 12- 6 317 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 8-10, 91.7) 12- 1 320 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 4- 6 321 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 11-13 322 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 15- 5 324 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 0- 5 327 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 3- 1 328 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 12-11 329 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 4-11 331 A Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 6- 3 402 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 3- 4 403 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 5- 2 404 A Virginia ACC (38-24, 96.1) 9- 3 407 A Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC ( 5-10, 92.4) 3- 6 409 H UC Riverside BW (15-35, 89.6) 3- 6 410 H Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3- 6 411 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 3-17 414 H Stetson AS (20-34, 92.8) 9- 2 417 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 11- 0 418 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 9- 7 419 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 6- 4 421 A North Florida AS (30-25, 93.5) 4- 1 424 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 3- 4 425 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 7- 8 426 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 4- 7 429 A Northeastern CA (33-25, 94.4) 9- 5 502 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 10- 1 502 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 8- 5 503 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 6- 4 505 H Jacksonville AS (29-23, 93.6) 5- 2 508 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 8- 4 509 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 3- 4 510 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 6- 3 514 A Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 7- 1 515 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 11-14 516 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 4- 7 522 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 6- 8 529 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 5- 6 531 A Northern Illinois MA ( 7- 4, 93.5) 7- 4 601 A St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Janes Madison 5- 1 4 6 -1.56
214 H Janes Madison 16- 5 11 6 ++ 5.44
217 H Miami 13- 8 5 1 + 3.78
220 A Saint Peter's 6- 3 3 8 -- -5.25
221 A Auburn 5- 8 -3 -3 -0.43
222 H Nebraska 1-10 -9 1 --- -9.62
225 H North Florida 14- 9 5 4 0.80
228 H The Citadel 6- 2 4 3 1.28
228 H The Citadel 2- 1 1 3 -1.72
301 H The Citadel 2- 0 2 3 -0.72
303 A Georgia 7-11 -4 -3 -1.36
304 A East Carolina 22- 5 17 0 +++ 14.43
306 A Tennessee Tech 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.33
307 H Northern Kentucky 13- 3 10 8 1.87
308 H Northern Kentucky 17- 3 14 8 ++ 5.87
310 A Florida 3- 6 -3 -2 -1.04
313 A Wake Forest 10- 0 10 -1 +++ 10.96
314 A Wake Forest 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.96
315 A Wake Forest 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 6.96
317 H Bethune-Cookman 12- 1 11 6 ++ 5.01
320 H NC State 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.28
321 A Marshall 11-13 -2 3 -- -4.84
322 H NC State 15- 5 10 1 +++ 8.72
324 A Florida 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.04
327 H Duke 3- 1 2 3 -1.16
328 H Duke 12-11 1 3 - -2.16
329 H Duke 4-11 -7 3 --- -10.16
331 A Stetson 6- 3 3 4 -0.54
402 A Virginia 3- 4 -1 0 -1.21
403 A Virginia 5- 2 3 0 + 2.79
404 A Virginia 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.79
407 A Arkansas Pine Bluff 3- 6 -3 4 --- -6.90
409 H UC Riverside 3- 6 -3 8 --- -11.06
410 H Ole Miss 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.99
411 A Georgia Tech 3-17 -14 -4 --- -10.41
414 H Stetson 9- 2 7 5 + 2.10
417 H Notre Dame 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.23
418 H Notre Dame 9- 7 2 2 0.23
419 H Notre Dame 6- 4 2 2 0.23
421 A North Florida 4- 1 3 3 0.15
424 A Stanford 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.75
425 A Stanford 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.75
426 A Stanford 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.75
429 A Northeastern 9- 5 4 2 + 2.12
502 H Pittsburgh 10- 1 9 1 +++ 7.71
502 H Pittsburgh 8- 5 3 1 1.71
503 H Pittsburgh 6- 4 2 1 0.71
505 H Jacksonville 5- 2 3 4 -1.02
508 A Clemson 8- 4 4 1 + 3.34
509 A Clemson 3- 4 -1 1 -1.66
510 A Clemson 6- 3 3 1 + 2.34
514 A Clemson 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.34
515 A Georgia Tech 11-14 -3 -4 0.59
516 H Miami of Florida 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.01
522 H Pittsburgh 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.29
529 H St. John's 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.51
531 A Northern Illinois 7- 4 3 3 0.23
601 A St. John's 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Nebraska 1-10 -9 1 --- -9.62 329 H Duke 4-11 -7 3 --- -10.16 407 A Arkansas Pine Bluff 3- 6 -3 4 --- -6.90 409 H UC Riverside 3- 6 -3 8 --- -11.06 411 A Georgia Tech 3-17 -14 -4 --- -10.41 220 A Saint Peter's 6- 3 3 8 -- -5.25 306 A Tennessee Tech 7- 5 2 6 -- -4.33 321 A Marshall 11-13 -2 3 -- -4.84 426 A Stanford 4- 7 -3 2 -- -4.75 516 H Miami of Florida 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.01 529 H St. John's 5- 6 -1 4 -- -4.51 320 H NC State 4- 6 -2 1 - -3.28 324 A Florida 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.04 328 H Duke 12-11 1 3 - -2.16 410 H Ole Miss 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.99 424 A Stanford 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.75 425 A Stanford 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.75 522 H Pittsburgh 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.29 601 A St. John's 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.16 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A East Carolina 22- 5 17 0 +++ 14.43 313 A Wake Forest 10- 0 10 -1 +++ 10.96 315 A Wake Forest 12- 6 6 -1 +++ 6.96 322 H NC State 15- 5 10 1 +++ 8.72 417 H Notre Dame 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.23 502 H Pittsburgh 10- 1 9 1 +++ 7.71 214 H Janes Madison 16- 5 11 6 ++ 5.44 308 H Northern Kentucky 17- 3 14 8 ++ 5.87 317 H Bethune-Cookman 12- 1 11 6 ++ 5.01 404 A Virginia 9- 3 6 0 ++ 5.79 514 A Clemson 7- 1 6 1 ++ 5.34 217 H Miami 13- 8 5 1 + 3.78 314 A Wake Forest 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.96 403 A Virginia 5- 2 3 0 + 2.79 414 H Stetson 9- 2 7 5 + 2.10 429 A Northeastern 9- 5 4 2 + 2.12 508 A Clemson 8- 4 4 1 + 3.34 510 A Clemson 6- 3 3 1 + 2.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 5- 1 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.50 9.92
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 16- 5 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.50 9.92
3 H Miami (22-13, 96.4) 13- 8 -3.46 14.97 -0.68 0.50 14.26
3 A Saint Peter's ( 1- 5, 88.1) 6- 3 -11.84 6.59 0.68 0.50 7.24
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 5- 8 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.50 -0.09
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 1-10 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.50 -0.88
3 H North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 14- 9 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.50 11.28
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 6- 2 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.50 12.76
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 2- 1 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.50 12.76
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 2- 0 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.50 12.76
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 7-11 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.50 -0.07
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 22- 5 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.50 15.89
3 A Tennessee Tech ( 5-13, 90.0) 7- 5 -9.92 8.51 0.68 0.50 9.16
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 13- 3 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 0.50 7.36
3 H Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 17- 3 -10.38 8.05 -0.68 0.50 7.36
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 3- 6 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 -0.24
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 10- 0 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.50 16.42
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 2- 0 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.50 16.42
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 12- 6 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.50 16.42
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 8-10, 91.7) 12- 1 -8.23 10.20 -0.68 0.50 9.49
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 4- 6 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 0.50 -1.05
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 11-13 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.50 -1.44
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 15- 5 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 0.50 14.19
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 0- 5 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 -0.24
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 3- 1 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.50 12.31
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 12-11 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.50 12.31
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 4-11 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.50 -1.52
3 A Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 6- 3 -7.14 11.29 0.68 0.50 11.93
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 3- 4 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.50 -0.78
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 5- 2 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.50 15.26
3 A Virginia (38-24, 96.1) 9- 3 -3.80 14.63 0.68 0.50 15.26
3 A Arkansas Pine ( 5-10, 92.4) 3- 6 -7.49 10.93 0.68 0.50 -1.70
3 H UC Riverside (15-35, 89.6) 3- 6 -10.30 8.13 -0.68 0.50 -2.74
3 H Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3- 6 -2.23 16.20 -0.68 0.50 -0.72
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 3-17 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.50 -0.17
3 H Stetson (20-34, 92.8) 9- 2 -7.14 11.29 -0.68 0.50 10.58
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 11- 0 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.50 13.71
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 9- 7 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.50 13.71
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 6- 4 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.50 13.71
3 A North Florida (30-25, 93.5) 4- 1 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.50 12.63
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 3- 4 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 7- 8 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 4- 7 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.50 -1.16
3 A Northeastern (33-25, 94.4) 9- 5 -5.47 12.95 0.68 0.50 13.59
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 10- 1 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.50 14.18
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 8- 5 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.50 14.18
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 6- 4 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.50 14.18
3 H Jacksonville (29-23, 93.6) 5- 2 -6.26 12.17 -0.68 0.50 11.46
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 8- 4 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.50 14.80
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 3- 4 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.50 -0.89
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 6- 3 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.50 14.80
3 A Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 7- 1 -4.26 14.17 0.68 0.50 14.80
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 11-14 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.50 -0.17
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 4- 7 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.50 -1.23
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 6- 8 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 0.50 -1.05
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 5- 6 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.50 -1.60
3 A Northern Illin ( 7- 4, 93.5) 7- 4 -6.36 12.07 0.68 0.50 12.71
3 A St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 4- 5 -5.75 12.68 0.68 0.50 -1.26
------
438.42
|
winning pts = 459.7364 losing points = -21.3153
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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